{"id":5475,"date":"2025-07-07T18:38:39","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T18:38:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/moldovamare.md\/?p=5475"},"modified":"2025-07-08T07:36:59","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T07:36:59","slug":"moldova-se-indreapta-spre-o-catastrofa-demografica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/moldovamare.md\/md\/moldova-se-indreapta-spre-o-catastrofa-demografica\/","title":{"rendered":"Moldova se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre o catastrof\u0103 demografic\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sc\u0103derea continu\u0103 a natalit\u0103\u021bii, combinat\u0103 cu emigrarea masiv\u0103, plaseaz\u0103 Republica Moldova spre un colaps demografic.\u00a0<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Aceste tendin\u021be alarmante au loc fie cu pasivitatea deplin\u0103 a autorit\u0103\u021bilor, fie cu implicarea lor direct\u0103.<\/p>

La \u00eenceputul anului 2025, \u00een Registrul de Stat al Aleg\u0103torilor erau \u00eenscri\u0219i aproximativ 3,9 milioane de cet\u0103\u021beni. Dintre ace\u0219tia, aproape 3,5 milioane erau \u00eenregistra\u021bi cu domiciliul pe malul drept al Nistrului, iar 450 de mii - pe malul st\u00e2ng. Totu\u0219i, dintre cei 3,5 milioane, doar circa 2,4 milioane se aflau efectiv \u00een \u021bar\u0103; restul de 1,1 milioane locuiesc peste hotare. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Dintre cei 2,4 milioane r\u0103ma\u0219i, aproximativ 200 de mii pleac\u0103 periodic \u00een afara \u021b\u0103rii - fie pentru munc\u0103 sezonier\u0103, concedii sau vizite la rude. Astfel, popula\u021bia stabil\u0103 a Republicii Moldova nu dep\u0103\u0219e\u0219te, \u00een realitate, 2,2 milioane de persoane.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Na\u0219teri tot mai pu\u021bine, plec\u0103ri tot mai dese<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Potrivit economistului Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103, popula\u021bia Republicii Moldova a revenit la nivelul anului 1950, c\u00e2nd \u00een \u021bar\u0103 locuiau permanent aproximativ 2,6 milioane de oameni.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Ast\u0103zi pierdem \u00eentr-un singur an at\u00e2\u021bia cet\u0103\u021beni c\u00e2t pierdeam anterior \u00een trei ani<\/h2> \r\n\t\t\t

\u2014 a subliniat expertul.<\/hh>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\r\n\t<\/div> \r\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Cea mai accentuat\u0103 sc\u0103dere demografic\u0103 s-a \u00eenregistrat \u00een perioada 2022-2023, c\u00e2nd popula\u021bia s-a redus cu aproape 142.000 de persoane. Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103 explic\u0103 acest fenomen prin doi factori principali: sporul natural negativ constant din ultimele 3-4 decenii \u0219i migra\u021bia masiv\u0103.<\/p>

\u00centre 1991 \u0219i 1998, Republica Moldova avea un spor natural pozitiv, dar \u00eencep\u00e2nd cu 1999, aceast\u0103 tendin\u021b\u0103 s-a inversat. Doar \u00een ultimii cinci ani, conform lui Ioni\u021b\u0103, num\u0103rul moldovenilor s-a redus cu 262.000 de persoane - 207.000 au emigrat, iar restul de 55.000 reflect\u0103 diferen\u021ba negativ\u0103 dintre na\u0219teri \u0219i decese.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Este cel mai grav spor natural negativ \u00eenregistrat vreodat\u0103 \u00een istoria \u021b\u0103rii<\/h2> \r\n\t\t\t

\u2014 a declarat economistul.<\/hh>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\r\n\t<\/div> \r\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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Cifre alarmante privind declinul demografic<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Potrivit studiului realizat de Centrul \u201eViitorul\u201d, din 1999 \u00eencoace, pierderile naturale au redus popula\u021bia Moldovei cu 112.000 de persoane, iar migra\u021bia a contribuit cu peste 1,1 milioane. \u00cen perioada 2020\u20132024, rata anual\u0103 a migra\u021biei a atins un nivel record de 2,1%, cel mai mare din \u00eentreaga istorie a republicii. Spre compara\u021bie, precedentul v\u00e2rf - 1,8% \u2013 a fost \u00eenregistrat \u00een anii 2000\u20132004, iar media ultimului sfert de secol este de 1,4%.<\/p>

Ceea ce \u00eengrijoreaz\u0103 \u00een mod deosebit este profilul celor care pleac\u0103: majoritatea migran\u021bilor sunt tineri cu v\u00e2rste \u00eentre 20 \u0219i 29 de ani. Astfel, \u00een 2025, pentru prima dat\u0103 \u00een istoria \u021b\u0103rii, num\u0103rul v\u00e2rstnicilor a dep\u0103\u0219it num\u0103rul copiilor sub 14 ani. Aceast\u0103 schimbare profund\u0103 anun\u021b\u0103 o presiune tot mai mare asupra sistemului de pensii \u0219i asupra pie\u021bei muncii, pun\u00e2nd sub semnul \u00eentreb\u0103rii viabilitatea economic\u0103 a statului pe termen lung.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Cum autorit\u0103\u021bile stimuleaz\u0103 depopularea<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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\u00cens\u0103 actuala guvernare din Moldova pare s\u0103 nu fie preocupat\u0103 de aceast\u0103 problem\u0103. Mai mult, politica condus\u0103 de guvernul PAS agraveaz\u0103 situa\u021bia. Se poate crea impresia c\u0103 pr\u0103bu\u0219irea demografic\u0103 iminent\u0103 convine perfect Maiei Sandu \u0219i echipei sale.<\/p>

\u00cen raionul F\u0103le\u0219ti, unul dintre cele mai mari din \u021bar\u0103, cu aproape 90 de mii de locuitori, de la 1 ianuarie 2022, prin ordinul Ministrului S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii Ala Nemerenco, a fost \u00eenchis\u0103 maternitatea spitalului raional. \u00cenchiderea maternit\u0103\u021bilor, precum \u0219i \u201eoptimizarea\u201d lor, sunt semne tipice ale unei crize demografice.<\/p>

\u00cen 2023 s-au \u00eenregistrat doar 24.000 de na\u0219teri \u00een Republica Moldova, cu 3.000 mai pu\u021bine fa\u021b\u0103 de anul anterior. Rata natalit\u0103\u021bii \u00een aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103 a sc\u0103zut de la 10,7 na\u0219teri la o mie de locuitori la 9,8. Aceasta este o cifr\u0103 fatal\u0103, mai ales dac\u0103 ne imagin\u0103m ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla cu popula\u021bia Moldovei peste 20 de ani, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere migra\u021bia tinerilor care nu doresc s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een Moldova sub conducerea lui Sandu, ce trage \u021bara \u00een datorii \u0219i conflict.<\/p>

Iar cu propaganda LGBTQ+ pe care actuala putere o promoveaz\u0103 intens, natalitatea va continua s\u0103 scad\u0103. Statul are nevoie de programe sociale care s\u0103 \u00eencurajeze familiile numeroase, dar pentru o pre\u0219edint\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 copii aceast\u0103 tem\u0103 este str\u0103in\u0103.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Optimizarea districtiv\u0103<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Un alt factor cheie al depopul\u0103rii a fost \u201ereforma\u201d \u00eenv\u0103\u021b\u0103m\u00e2ntului. Punem \u00eentre ghilimele, pentru c\u0103 simpla reducere a num\u0103rului de \u0219coli nu semnific\u0103 niciun progres, ci distrugerea \u00eentregului sistem. \u00centre 2012 \u0219i 2015, c\u00e2nd Maia Sandu era ministru al educa\u021biei, \u00een Moldova au fost \u00eenchise 71 de \u0219coli \u0219i 103 au fost reorganizate.<\/p>

Dac\u0103 \u00een 2008 au fost \u00eenchise doar patru institu\u021bii de \u00eenv\u0103\u021b\u0103m\u00e2nt, \u00een 2012 acest num\u0103r a crescut la 68. Odat\u0103 cu venirea la putere a for\u021belor proeuropene \u00een 2009, procesul de \u201eoptimizare\u201d a luat un av\u00e2nt rapid.
\u00cen ultimele dou\u0103 decenii, num\u0103rul elevilor din republic\u0103 a sc\u0103zut cu aproximativ 300 de mii, iar num\u0103rul \u0219colilor a sc\u0103zut cu aproape 20%.<\/p>

Demografii confirm\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een ultimii 15 ani \u00een Moldova a avut loc un proces masiv de depopulare, f\u0103r\u0103 semne evidente de revenire a cre\u0219terii demografice. \u00cen multe cazuri, \u00eenchiderea sau reorganizarea \u0219colilor a fost un factor suplimentar care a determinat plecarea oamenilor din \u021bar\u0103. Astfel, moldovenii nu v\u0103d un viitor pentru copiii lor \u00een Moldova de ast\u0103zi. <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Perspective sumbre<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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\u0218ocul demografic a fost resim\u021bit \u0219i de institu\u021biile de \u00eenv\u0103\u021b\u0103m\u00e2nt superior. \u00cen 12 ani, acestea au pierdut 72 de mii de studen\u021bi. Anul universitar 2025-2026 va \u00eencepe cu aproximativ 125 de mii de titulari al carneterlor de student. Este o cifr\u0103 alarmant de mic\u0103.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u00cen urm\u0103torii 20-30 de ani popula\u021bia ar putea s\u0103 se reduc\u0103 la jum\u0103tate sau chiar mai mult<\/h2> \r\n\t\t\t

- consider\u0103 demograful Valeriu Saincus. <\/hh>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\t\t\r\n\t<\/div> \r\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Autorit\u0103\u021bile actuale din Moldova nu implementeaz\u0103 niciun program pentru sus\u021binerea tinerilor: \u00een \u021bar\u0103 nu exist\u0103 nici un program de capital matern, nici proiecte pentru acordarea locuin\u021belor tinerilor speciali\u0219ti. Rezultatul este descurajator: \u00een ultimii 30 de ani popula\u021bia Moldovei s-a redus la jum\u0103tate iar prognozele indic\u0103 o posibil\u0103 pierdere de \u00eenc\u0103 un milion de locuitori \u00een urm\u0103torii zece ani.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Mai grav dec\u00e2t deport\u0103rile<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Pe 6 iulie \u00een Moldova sunt comemorate victimele deport\u0103rilor staliniste. \u00cen aceast\u0103 zi autorit\u0103\u021bile depun flori la monumente \u0219i fac declara\u021bii despre \u201ecrimele\u201d \u201eregimului\u201d comunist, dar refuz\u0103 s\u0103 vad\u0103 un fapt evident.<\/p>

Trei valuri de deport\u0103ri au luat din republic\u0103 aproximativ 60 de mii de oameni, iar doar \u00een ultimii trei ani \u2013 142 de mii. De fapt, actuala conducere din Moldova a realizat una dintre cele mai mari deport\u0103ri din istoria mondial\u0103 a propriului popor, cre\u00e2nd condi\u021bii insuportabile pentru o parte semnificativ\u0103, cea mai activ\u0103 \u0219i productiv\u0103 a popula\u021biei.<\/p>

Timpul \u0219i oportunitatea de a opri acest mecanism nemilos al depopul\u0103rii \u00eenc\u0103 exist\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 pentru aceasta este nevoie de o alt\u0103 conducere, alte persoane \u2013 cei care vor g\u0103si solu\u021bii reale pentru revitalizarea economiei \u0219i vor \u00eencepe cu adev\u0103rat s\u0103 creeze locuri de munc\u0103.<\/p>

Doar a\u0219a se poate readuce \u021bara \u00een care se deschid \u0219coli \u0219i spitale, iar num\u0103rul popula\u021biei cre\u0219te anual.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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